Creating Cash Flow
Projections You Can Trust
By Philip Campbell
Trying to run a successful business without cash flow
projections is like driving along on the freeway in a
driving rainstorm without turning on your windshield wipers.
You can't see the cars in front of you or behind you. You
slow down to a crawl. You're just hoping and praying the
rain stops before you end up in a terrible accident.
Cash flow projections provide you the visibility you need
to avoid problems and create the financial success you
deserve.
Cash Flow Projections Made Easy
Creating cash flow projections does not have to be a
difficult process. It is really a matter of using a few
basic principles together with your intuition and knowledge
about your business.
Here is a 5-step process you can use to create cash flow
projections you can trust.
1. The Near Future Almost Always Looks a Lot Like the Recent
Past.
The starting point for creating accurate cash flow
projections is to have the last six months of actual results
in front of you. You have a perfect view into what the cash
flow is likely to be because you have the last six months
of actual cash flow results there to look at.
You will be amazed at how this principle will help you
create accurate projections. It also helps make the process
so much easier and faster for you.
2. Consider What is Changing.
Is anything in the business changing right now in a
significant way?
If you just negotiated a 10% discount in the cost of a
product you re-sell to your customers, then you should
consider whether it should be reflected in the month you
will experience the reduced cost.
The key here is to make sure it is significant enough that
you are certain of its impact. Otherwise, it would be
better to see the impact in your actual results before
including it in your projections.
3. Be Conservative.
One thing about a projection you can be certain of: it will
not be perfectly accurate. You can be 100% certain that the
actual results will vary somewhat from what you project.
The trick is to get close.
It's like meeting someone for lunch. You agree to meet a
good friend at a restaurant at 12:00. You set 12:00 as the
time to meet so you will both be there at about the same
time. You set a very specific time so there is no
confusion.
Despite the precise time you set, you know that both of you
will not show up at exactly 12:00. The only question is
whether you will be there a little before 12:00 or a little
after 12:00. Will you be early or will you be late?
It's the same with your cash flow projections.
4. The 90% Test.
Here is a simple test that will work wonders for you.
Are you 90% sure the cash balances will come in at or better
than you projected? The key here is the phrase "at or
better than you projected". If you can answer yes to this
question with confidence, then your projections are
sufficiently conservative.
5. Use the "Smell Test".
Take a look at the projections again. Look closely at the
resulting cash balances. Are they in line with your general
expectations? Are they in line with the actual cash
balances over the last six months?
Give the projected cash balances the "smell test". The
smell test is a quick way to make sure everything smells
right. It's a way to make sure nothing unusual or
unexpected has made its way into your numbers.
It's like picking up a gallon of milk from the refrigerator.
It's not a bad idea to give it the quick smell test to make
sure you are not about to pour yourself a glass of soured
milk (better to smell a problem in advance than taste it in
the present, right!).
Taking Control of Your Cash Flow
Your cash flow projections provide you the visibility you
need to make more profitable business decisions.
Make a commitment to yourself now to regain control of
your cash flow by creating and maintaining cash flow
projections.
You will be surprised at how this simple process can
transform the way you manage your business.
Philip Campbell is a CPA and the author of the book:
"NEVER RUN OUT OF CASH, The 10 Cash Flow Rules You Can't
Afford to Ignore". Philip has helped hundreds of business
owners take control of their cash flow. You can learn more
about taking control of your cash flow and eliminating your
cash flow worries at
http://www.neverrunoutofcash.com.